What will be global trends after coronavirus? Let’s find an answer for this question.
The debate as to whether the coronavirus pandemic will cause significant transformations or fractures on a global scale is as old as the outbreak was out of Wuhan. As pandemic gained a global nature and influenced all areas of life, from healthcare to supply chains, from economy to social relations, it became inevitable to have transformative effects on global politics.
The course of the debate based on the developments occurred has changed in the direction of whether the transformation will take place after a while or not and whether it will cause systemic shifts in the global scale. With a prudent analysis, the COVID-19 pandemic will lead to paradigm shifts such as the September 11 Attacks and the 2008/2009 Global Financial Crisis rather than the global system crisis, such as the First and Second World Wars, the end of the Cold War, and accelerate international system inquiries. We can predict.
Ebola, SARS and MERS
Both the scale of the epidemic and the practices implemented within the framework of the epidemic are not a phenomenon that the 21st century global society is used to. Although the outbreaks remind him of Spanish flu, Ebola, SARS and MERS, we are just getting acquainted with such a comprehensive and transformative epidemic phenomenon and the perception of threat around it. For this reason, we also need to determine the situation, for this we need medical data and analysis that social scientists are not equipped; it is also difficult to predict where the process will evolve in terms of the global system and politics. The opportunities and challenges that governments and global organizations will face in the period after COVID-19 will determine and determine the steps they have taken or have not taken.
For this reason, there is a strong link between global policy analysis after COVID-19 and the state’s anti-epidemic performance. However, it is of great importance that states put a viable vision about the post-epidemic situation and that this vision is met globally and locally. In the global system that will be subjected to a number of transformations, the declaration of the roles and capacities that states form on them will have a major impact in determining their position in the new period.
Covid-19 Corona Virus
Aside from the difficulty of making predictions in the ongoing epidemic process, the current table gives strong signals of trends that will come to the fore after COVID-19. The first is that the concept of “strong state” will regain reputation. As COVID-19 and similar pandemics are accepted as a part of our lives and processed into national security doctrines as a threat perception, the need and orientation to the state, which is the unique and central institution of the fight against pandemics, will increase. As a health, safety and welfare provider, the state stands out alone, not only in global but also in national pandemics.
The link between the self-sufficient state and the strong state will strengthen, especially considering the inefficient and inadequate roles of transnational organizations such as the World Health Organization and the EU in the current pandemic. Some of the states that were in a difficult position against the pandemic and were at the top of the statistically negative side were among the major or relatively strong actors of the international system in the period before COVID-19. Military power, economic power, population, etc., taught by the pandemic, which the realist approach often uses in power assessments. besides criteria such as detached or criteria such as healthcare system, supply chain and emergency capacity will also have to be taken into account as subtitles.
Attack of Countries
Contrary to some claims, the strengthening of the state does not have to bring authoritarianism. In connection with this, authoritarian regimes will not turn into acceptable systems because of their performance in fighting pandemics. Moreover, we generally do not have transparent data on which we can evaluate the pandemic performance of authoritarian regimes. However, Turkey, South Korea, Germany and so on. The struggle of some democratic countries, including countries, with the coronavirus only removes the myth that authoritarian regimes can effectively fight the pandemic. The idea that democratic / liberal societies will be content with authoritarianism is also naive through the argument of fighting pandemic. In the process after the coronavirus, those who define the strong state, the supply chain as robust, resistant to the economy, trusting the people, strong institutions, infrastructure, especially health, and the ability to manage crisis will positively differentiate from others on a global scale.